Friday, May 24, 2024

Sixth phase of Polls May 25 .... BJP enters its DOMINANCE sector ... "Congress failed to win any of the 58 seats going to polls, BJP won 40"

In 2019, in Odisha Keonjhar (ST) went to Biju Janata Dal -- so did

Dhenkanal, Cuttack, and Puri. But Sambalpur and Bhubaneswar were bagged by the BJP


Sitting Cuttack MP, N Mahatab is contesting on BJP ticket this time. 


Of the constituencies going to the polls on May 25 are ten from Haryana.
The BJP had won all 10 and there are chances, the Congress will manage to win a few this time.


Ambala (SC), Kurukshetra, Sirsa (SC), Hisar, Karnal, Sonipat, Rohtak , Bhiwani-Mahendragarh, Gurgaon, and Faridabad 





May 25 polls in West Bengal will cover 

Tamluk (gen): held Trinamool Congress in 2019
Kanthi (gen): Trinamool Congress in 2019
Ghatal (gen): Trinamool Congress in 2019


Jhargram (ST): BJP -- 2019
Medinipur (gen): BJP -- 2019 


Tamluk, West Bengal:Former Calcutta High Court judge and a fierce critic of CM Mamata Banerjee, Abhijit Gangopadhyay, who recently joined the BJP, is contesting the polls from Tamluk. 


TMC has fielded young party spokesperson and poet Debangshu Bhattacharya. Bhattacharya is known for penning the TMC’s 2021 assembly election song - ‘Khela Hobe’.


In Haryana's Karnal -- No less than heavyweight candidate and former Haryana CM Manohar Lal Khattar will contest.


Haryana Youth Congress President Divyanshu Budhiraja is pitted against him. 




BJP leader and Union Minister Rao Inderjit Singh, who hails from the royal Ahir family of the erstwhile state of Rewari, will fight to retain the prestigious Gurgaon constituency. The Congress has fielded film star Raj Babbar on this seat.  



In Uttar Pradesh Sultanpur will be keenly watched as Rahul’s aunt Maneka Gandhi, a noted animal activist, is the BJP nominee. Earlier the seat was represented by Ms Maneka’s son Varun Gandhi. In 2019 polls, Maneka and Varun swapped the constituencies as mother moved to Sultanpur and Rahul Gandhi’s cousin went to try his luck in Pilibhit, the seat earlier represented by Maneka Gandhi.

Varun has been denied party ticket from Pilibhit this year.


In 2024 polls, BJP’s Maneka Gandhi will take on Samajwadi Party candidate

Ram Bhual Nishad. Five years back, in 2019 Maneka had a close fight polling

459,196 votes and BSP’s Chandra Bhadra Singh came quite close as he could manage 4,44,670 votes. 


There are five assembly segments falling under Sultanpur Lok Sabha segment and what gives Maneka Gandhi – a huge advantage – is the fact that four of them Sultanpur, Sultanpur Sadar, Lambhua and Kadipur (SC) elected BJP MLAs in 2022 polls. Only exception was Isauli which elected a Muslim Samajwadi Party MLA – Md. Tahir Khan.


Tahir Khan was BSP MP from Sultanpur in 2004. In 2009, the seat came to Sanjay Singh of Congress and in 2014, it was Varun Gandhi.


Locals also say Varun Gandhi did not perform very well and it was wise on the part of BJP that Maneka Gandhi had contested in 2019. She has been again fielded from Sultanpur this year.



People also discuss why and how Varun Gandhi was denied BJP ticket. Like elsewhere, in Sultanpur too people debated whether Varun could strike any deal with his ‘estranged’ cousins Rahul and Priyanka in future. 

“Even this year, there was rumour that Varun Gandhi could be fielded by BJP from Rae Bareli but ultimately that did not materialise. It will not be wise for us to speculate why this did not happen?” says shopkeeper Prashant Azad.


A local educationist Sameera Khan says, “Indian voters are unpredictable. Local voters also feel neglected by Gandhi family members either in Amethi or Sultanpur. While Rahul lost Amethi in 2019, who knows Maneka may lose Sultanpur in 2024”.


Others do not agree. BJP worker Shivam Yadav says, “I may not be sure about Rae Bareli or even Amethi; but in Sultanpur no one can beat the senior parliamentarian Maneka Gandhi who has a big reputation of delivering”.


On May 25th, all eyes will be in Azamgarh also – a constituency with a substantial Muslim voters.  As a matter of fact, in 2019, out of 80 seats from Uttar Pradesh, the BJP bagged 62 seats and its ally Apna Dal got two in the last general elections. The Congress managed just one seat, with Sonia Gandhi retaining Raebareli. 


The Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party of Mayawati had an alliance and they won 5 and 10 seats respectively. RLD was with them but drew a blank This time there is no alliance between BSP and SP. Instead RLD is in the NDA fold and Samajwadi Party and Congress are in alliance. 



From the 14 seats that will go for voting on May 25th, in 2019, the BJP had bagged nine in the Purvanchal region, BSP had four and only Akhilesh Yadav could win Azamgarh for his Samajwadi Party.





In 2022 by-polls, powered by Yogi Adityanath factor, the BJP sprang a major surprise when Bhojouri actor Dinesh Lal Yadav 'Nirhua' could win the Azamgarh seat. It was a shocker for Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav, who had won the seat in 2019 by polling 6,21,578 votes – that is a high 60.04 per cent,


BJP’s Dinesh Lal Yadav 'Nirahua' could win only 3,61,704 – a modest 35.1 percent votes. But Akhilesh Yadav had vacated the seat in 2022 after he was elected to the state assembly. 


In 2024, Samajwadi Party candidate is Akhilesh’s cousin Dharmendra Yadav and BJP has again reposed faith in the actor Dinesh Lal Yadav Nirhua. There is also a BSP nominee from Ms Mayawati ---- Mashhod Sabeeha Ansari. And he could actually harm the Samajwadi Party most if he can poll a sizable chunk of Muslim and Dalit votes. 


Azamgarh is certainly a high-profile constituency which in 2008 was represented by BSP’s Akbar Ahmad – once an associate of Late Sanjay Gandhi. In 2014, it was won by no less than former UP Chief Minister and the Samajwadi Party founder Mulayam Singh Yadav.   


In Bihar, who bagged Lok Sabha elections phase six constituencies in 2019?

Valmiki Nagar (gen): Janata Dal (United)

Paschim Champaran (gen): BJP

Purvi Champaran (gen): BJP

Sheohar (gen): BJP

Vaishali (gen): Lok Janshakti Party

Gopalganj (SC): Janata Dal (United)

Siwan (gen): Janata Dal (United)

Maharajganj (gen): BJP






In UP, Ambedkar Nagar, Shrawasti,


Lalganj (SC) and Jaunpur (gen): Bahujan Samaj Party wen to the BSP 



Anantnag-Rajouri Lok Sabha constituency of Jammu and Kashmir, which was earlier supposed to go to polls on May 7, was moved to the sixth phase by the Election Commission later.


ends 

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