Friday, May 3, 2024

Rahul in 2024 is a 'runaway Shehzade' !! ..... 'Ma Ka Ladla' syndrome at work ... "Priyanka denied" is the 'real political message' of Congress battle in 2024 :::: How "unsafe" seat would be Rae Bareli for Rahul Gandhi ? From five MLAs in the constituency, now two are with BJP

The Big Picture take away will be little 'Out of the box' analysis.


The decision to field Rahul Gandhi from Rae Bareli - which out of 20 times the Congress has won 17 times shows Rahul was in search of not only a safe seat -- he opted for the 'safest seat'.


Is story from Wayanad is one of nervousness? Even if it is not so ...it's clear Rahul has stayed away from Amethi -- where he was humbled by 'woman of the match' Smriti Irani in 2019. 


Smriti Irani had polled 468,514 votes - that is 49.71 percent and that was +15.33. In contrast Rahul Gandhi had polled 4,13,394 - that is 43.84 percent and that was minus 2.85 of votes Rahul had bagged in 2014. 



"Nomination from Raebareli was an emotional moment for me! My mother has entrusted me with the responsibility of the family's workplace ('karmabhoomi') and given me the opportunity to serve it. 


Amethi and Rae Bareli are not different for me, both are my family and I am happy that Kishori Lal ji, who has been serving the area for 40 years, will represent the party from Amethi," - Rahul Gandhi. 





There's another important message. Sonia Gandhi is still a doting mom for a son and she has passed on her constituency to Rahul and it was a typical way of saying No to Priyanka. If no one else - Robert Vadra would not be very excited the manner Priyanka Gandhi Vadra was yet again denied the electoral debut chance.  


'Ma Ka Ladla' phenomenon has worked more prominently than anything else. 


The other messages those should not be missed are: --- Rahul has played an escapist. The English word is that of a gentleman !! 

Hindi word could be Bhagoda !!


Rahul in 2024 is a 'runaway Neta' ! -- is another powerful message. 


In Rae Bareli out of five assembly segments, in 2022 polls - Samajwadi Party had won four. One went to Aditi Singh -- now with BJP. From Unchahar assembly segment winner was Manoj Pandey -- a great fighter and he has lately shifted alliance to the BJP. This could be a game changer. 


According to some analysts - Rahul Gandhi in the entire comes out as a 'fearful/Bhay-vit' Neta and also quite indecisive till the last minute. He is also trying to prove some critics right - that the sense of entitlement is extreme in Rahul Gandhi. 


His decision and that of his mother seem to drive home the point that -- If Amethi has defeated me once; I will not go back to them or that constituency yet again. Amid all these an article by 'suspended Congress leader' Sanjay Jha makes a lot of sense.







"But the Gandhis have no one to blame but themselves for the prolonged obsolescence from mainstream Uttar Pradesh politics since 1989. The Congress party has no excuse whatsoever for being reduced to a ludicrous sideshow in a state that it dominated right till the mid-1980s before a cataclysmic capitulation in the aftermath of the Mandir-Mandal hurricane. 

But does it still take 35 years for a political resurrection? The party’s inability to rebuild its once insuperable goodwill will still have to be fixed, irrespective of the outcome," says Sanjay Jha. 


ends 




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