Manipur ambush on Assam Rifles raises many questions.
Of course, who done it is crucial.
In some of the most debated cases; a refrain among analysts is the Naga insurgency stories of violence and clashes with Indian army and amongst 'mutual groups' and sub-groups were often like comedy of errors and tragedy of judgement.
Manipur pays tribute to two Assam Rifles personnel killed in Ukhrul ambush
The solemn ceremony, organised by the Assam Rifles, was attended by Chief Minister Y Khemchand Singh, state Home Minister Govindas Konthoujam, Director General of Police Rajiv Singh, Additional Director General of Police L Dorjee, Inspector General of Assam Rifles (South) Major General Gaurav Sharma,
Inspector General of Police, CRPF, Rajendra Narayan Dash, and other senior civil, police and military officials.
The personnel were identified as Warrant Officer Balwan Singh and Havildar Chandra Mohan Singh, who were killed in the line of duty when their convoy came under attack in Ukhrul district on July 6.
Obvious question is Who Dun it? Why .... and perhaps more important question is - Why now ? --- The needle of suspicions were on NSCN-IM ---- either Eastern Flank or the 'well established' Hebron canp.
Notably, the NSCN-IM headquarters issued a quick denial.
It also said there is no "Eastern Flank" within the Naga Army of the NSCN/GPRN, rejecting any attempt to link the group with the reported incident. Reaffirming its commitment to the ongoing peace process, it remained 'steadfast' in honouring the Ceasefire Agreement inked in 1997.
Has the Ceasefire pact under stress ? It does not seem for the time being.
But various aspects are being analysed.
A section of mandarins says --- they possibly remember a joke of the 1980s ... In America; everyone tried to dance in the classical ballet. But no one realized that fat girls could not dance those classical numbers.
Relevance of such refrains is worth reflecting. A typical reaction going round the camps is -- "when someone attacks my house in a season of peace; do I chant Buddham Saranam ..... ? "
A joint search operation involving the Manipur Police and Assam Rifles personnel from Ukhrul and Shangshak was launched soon after the attack.
Some aspects are being looked into by New Delhi. Of course, there is no immediate pressure on the ceasefire. By and large it has worked in both the states - Nagaland and Manipur.
However, mutual clashes in Manipur between Eastern Flank and the Hebron camp and between Naga militants and Kukis are a matter of deep concern for the 'security apparatus' in New Delhi.
One refrain also is ... time to show 'reasons' to both the political elements and also to the militants.
Naga Underground leaders often spoke about many impossible projects. including such as - we can grow rice and food on rocks. If money is not there for "projects"; can they print currency ?
The story goes this way -- All insurgent factions -- including the 'most potent' as claimed by both sides - insurgents as well as Delhi - could sustain the operations over the years through a well-organized, large-scale system of illegal taxation.

Within the geographical landscape of Nagaland state - there is no illicit poppy cultivation no doubt. But there is no hesitation to do 'drug business' as such by the courageous men and at times even women.
Over 9o-95 per cent of registered informal workers understandably earn less than Rs 10,000 monthly. This means there are strictly "limited opportunities" in the formal economy.
The state's unemployment rate in urban areas is 240 per 1,000 people, according to a study.
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| Naga CM Rio - 'the stone pulling guy' - 2018 |
English writers say - A hungry pigeon or even a Rooster - given food at frequent but irregular intervals - dances and with erratic head jerks - only in the hope of summoning another morsel.
Who says there's no money ??
The fact of the matter is 'money' is responsible for many challenges and events.
The shadow economy in Nagaland operates through multiple primary channels.
Analysts maintain -- The illegal taxation by insurgent groups (Rs 250-Rs 300 crore annually)
-- the liquor black market (Rs 250 crore),
-Drug trafficking (Rs 118-120 crore in seizures alone in 2024),
- Arms smuggling (Rs 50 crore estimated)
- And money laundering operations (Rs 75 crore).
The problems in Manipur could be linked to these money-minting tools and operations.
There are multiple taxes for every commodity entering Nagaland and Manipur. In the case of latter; things have become more complicated after the ethnic clashes of 2023. There is also new angles after increase in clashes between Nagas and Kukis and between cadres of two groups within an organisation.
In Dimapur - people will tell you about so-called Entry tax, exit-tax, godown tax, distributor tax, and retailer tax.
Ultimately, who pays --- the consumers. And who are they -- the voters !
ends
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