Wednesday, July 12, 2023

Accountability in Politics: Minimum PMO and Maximum MHA

Some lively and lovely reax have surfaced from social media to this blog..... I feel excited to share a few ..... with due permission from friends but most had pre-conditions and I respect their view) .... Read at the end ... for more comments


(Low intensity warfare is beneficial for the Government. It helps train their forces to remain active and war worthy. Soldiers trained in Gorilla warfare school Mizoram spending large amount of money and resources may not be producing as much able soldiers. But conflicts in the NE and JK have produced many.. ..... - a security specialist 


Nadda must know, to be India's Home Minister is not a part time job 



Modi must realise that if he wants posterity to remember him as a brilliant Prime Minister, he cannot achieve that by a team that is mediocre.





Most of our readers  know that most often politics in Nagaland state revolves around
mysterious Lady Luck. In other words, some of the problems and challenges are a gift of  'certain unfortunate happenings'. 

What is of significance is that every time we find some remedial steps are being taken to treat the ailments,some of those measures would be either misguided or taken with ill-motives by certain protagonists.

Why should Nagaland peace talks be derailed or stalled? Why should a seemingly successful interlocutor R N Ravi suddenly be moved out ? Why should Himanta Biswa Sarma suddenly decide the fate of Naga politicians and the state itself?


In all these, personally even Narendra Modi admirers have been let down. India's most decisive Prime Minister has gone silent on Manipur unrest and is possibly preparing for elections 2024 without solving the Naga insurgency.


People talk about “Minimum Government, Maximum Governance?" and so on. I will go a step further and  would try to highlight 'Minimum PMO and Maximum MHA'.


This is becoming a problem area for Narendra Modi. Take for instance, the Naga peace talks. The progress made on the matter has been stalled slightly because of an 'unreasonable set of demands' from one group and slightly because Amit Shah has started consulting everybody.

The transfer of R N Ravi was a throwback to Congress culture. 'Appeasement' ! That was unjustified and that actually was a result of Neiphiu Rio-Himanta friendship. It only helped some people raise their ego graph.  

How much Amit Shah thought seriously before taking such a decision is not clear ?
 






Apparently, key protagonists are now clueless on how things should be taken to the next stage vis-a-vis Article 371 (A) and the 6th Schedule in Nagaland. With or without Manipur unrest, 371 (C) is perhaps also in debate.

Analysts offer their argument in a candid manner but quite with clinical precision.

"Under interlocutor Ravi and PMO 'mission' to resolve the political and historical Naga problem several gaps were breached. They reached a very good level of understanding to reach a mutual political agreement in 2019, but it was stalled and nothing is progressing further," says one of them.


It is true in subsequent stages, the centre brought all conflicting issues in the region together and then "failed to appreciate"  the historical and political aspirations of the people that needed corrections in the political structures. 

Others say, BJP leadership also mixed missions such as resolving the Naga problem with the saffron party's "ambitious expansionist agenda". 


These overshadowed all the good intent and some unwarranted players both within the state's political structure and in the neighbourhood got undue importance.

"It appeared the Naga talks were outsourced to a BJP functionary," remarked a former Nagaland chief minister earlier this year.
 

Achieving a 'Solution agreement' with Naga rebels after exerting enough pressure on 'saboteurs' will not only be an achievement, it will be a game-changer in the northeast.

It will salvage PM Modi's image, bring relief to countless citizens and also give a powerful message for Peace in a region which ultimately will play a major role in the success of Modi's vision of Act East policy.


In BJP's internal management, the division of labour is not clearly defined. And even if it is defined there are individuals who are spoiling the curry. Take the instance of BJP president J P Nadda. 


There is a strong feeling among the party karyakartas and supporters that Nadda is still too happy to function as a working president and keeps looking towards Shah even for minor decisions. This may not be something the Prime Minister desired in a BJP president.  


Nadda should take the course correction himself. This is not to suggest that Amit Shah should be shown disrespect or not consulted; but if Nadda starts taking a few decisions independently, it could help reduce Shah's burden. Who has to decide about replacing a lacklustre state president in Nagaland; Nadda or Shah ? 

The demand started in 2018 and we have crossed half of 2023. 


The Home Minister is workaholic no doubt but to be Home Minister of India -- is not a part time job.


PM Modi must also realise that if he wants posterity to remember him as a brilliant Prime Minister and a global leader, he cannot achieve that by a team that is mediocre. He must encourage talent and look for himself the success he has achieved after getting Dr S Jaishankar to be India's foreign minister. 


If Chief Minister 'a' did not deliver in many months and years, why trust him for eternity?

If A K Mishra is unable to do much; the government should opt for a new man --- maybe even a former military man -- who has handled insurgency menace in the northeast earlier.

For his part, Ravi is also not quite happy in Chennai, nor is Chief Minister M K Stalin. Ravi may be brought as a  union minister or as a special advisor attached to PMO and again given the necessary mandate to work on the Naga issue. 

This will be a veiled message to the conspiracy club too.

ends 








Modi's biggest achievement on multiple sectors has been to crush 'political dilemmas' and 'indecisiveness' :: Must continue the same  to win 2024


 PM Narendra Modi must continue with his own distinct style to win 2024. He and his friends must know that Modi's biggest achievement on multiple sectors has been to crush 'political dilemmas' and 'indecisiveness'. Of many Prime Ministers, Modi has 'guts', says veteran Naga leader S C Jamir --- who has worked under all Prime Ministers since Jawaharlal Nehru.


Jamir was Governor in Gujarat for hardly five months when Modi was the chief minister but the friendship has struck. Jamir was a Congressman all along but the bond between the two also showed that both the leaders could rise above their own party lines.  






Modi still has friends in the opposition camp and some of them will certainly come to his aid politically -- even forced by circumstances. But there are other issues, many in his own camp may not be very happy to see his return in 2024. 

The Prime Minister ought to take grasp of the situations and individuals very well and I recommend he should go by his own instinct and own 'channel of information' than the usual official source of such information from various agencies.


Official agencies have their prejudices and thus the problem of limitations. All such information may not be truthful, objective and based on real time and ear-on-ground assessments. Like his silence on Manipur situation during the early stages of the ethnic strife in the sensitive northeastern state was an absolute unrealistic and ill-conceived advise. 


There are certain mistakes in the functioning of the BJP and the Modi government in last few months.  


Firstly, the division of labour is not clearly defined. And even if it is defined there are individuals who are spoiling the curry. Firstly, take the instance of BJP president J P Nadda. He had succeeded Amit Shah and before taking the assignment, he was appointed 'working president' for a brief spell. 


There is a strong feeling among the party karyakartas and supporters that Nadda is still too happy to function as a working president and keeps looking towards Shah even for minor decisions. This may not be something the Prime Minister desired in a BJP president.  

Nadda should take the course correction himself. 


This is not to suggest that Amit Shah should be shown disrespect or not consulted; but if Nadda starts taking a few decisions independently, it could help Shah indirectly as his burden will be relieved a bit. 

The Home Minister is workaholic no doubt but to be Home Minister of India -- is not a part time job. 


Shah as Home Minister has some enormously complex issues to handle like the Naga peace talks, demands by Tripura tribals and now the Manipur unrest. Amid these, if Nadda or B L Santhosh, organisational general secretary, expects Shah to give clearance on who should be state president in Mizoram or Goa, in very simple terms --- it's not fair. 


As a result things are getting delayed for long.  In Nagaland, the karyakartas are demoralised in the absence of a committed state unit president. They are also confused on whether they should rush to Himanta Biswa Sarma with their grievances or they should depend on a pretender of 'a central leader' who is blindly a follower of the NDPP camp.


The summary dismissal of Ram Madhav as general secretary and his return to RSS works have not given any lesson to leaders associated with Nagaland. 

There have been strong demands for replacing of state unit presidents in Nagaland and Meghalaya for last two years, but the central leaders are either not agreeable to change or they still do not know what is the roadmap. 


As it is; the absence of a clear roadmap has almost sabotaged Naga peace talks.  

(Refer previous blog ....


Link


PM Modi is blessed to have disgruntled and disoriented opposition camp


The problem in the opposition camp is also huge and in multiple forms. In many parties, former quiz masters started acting as 'veteran parliament strategies'. The knowledge of English and right connections with nephews might have rewarded some of these leaders. But as a result even in a decade time, India's opposition party is clueless on how to handle the phenomenon called Moditva. 


There are multiple shortcomings in the PM team and BJP as a party, but they are blessed to have a Crown Prince on the other side.  





Much before Modi became India's Prime Minister and arch rival to India's and global SICKULARISM gang, one western magazine had said, no one knows what does Rahul Gandhi want. The true point is no one really knew -- what does Rahul Gandhi himself want. 


But now perhaps everyone is clear -- he wants power and does not want to leave it even for his sister Priyanka.


"What is the point of Rahul Gandhi? The 42-year-old scion of the Gandhi dynasty, which has long dominated India's ruling party, is still the most plausible prime ministerial candidate for Congress at the looming 2014 election. In advance of that, possibly within weeks, he may get some new party post (some talk of a "vice presidency") or possibly a government job (as rural affairs minister, perhaps?). 

A cabinet reshuffle is awaited, with the washed-out monsoon session of parliament swirling down the drain," the report says.

(India Today report on Sept 11, 2012) 

Monsoon session of Parliament is around once again after 12 years. But nothing much has changed? The mess in NCP is a great shocker to opposition unity. 


Let us come back to 2023, and talk about 2024. The biggest fault line in the opposition camp is the absence of a face like V P Singh had emerged in 1988-89 in order to fight Rahul's dad Rajiv Gandhi. There is another small paradox; instead of Rahul Gandhi --- Jairam Ramesh had become Rural Development minister under Manmohan Singh. 


Grapevine has it that Dr Singh had reservation and yet Jairam was accommodated. Jairam has a NGO-type working model. He moves around with a team and often also contributes in making career for journalists and also spoiling them. Jairam has played a major role in Bharat Jodo Yatra and credit ought to be given.


I met Mr Jairam at Dimapur at a press conference in presence of K Therie, Nagaland unit president in February this year before elections.  

Knowing some intricacies of Nagaland politics, I had asked, whether Congress in Nagaland would be keen to do business with Rio minus BJP; or they can strike some deals with the BJP minus Rio. Jairam responded as a true Congressman.

Jairam was kind and he recognised me as some of us covered him 'religiously' (as RD minister). I was with a pro-rural development paper called 'The Statesman'  those days. 

At the end of the conference, he asked me, : "How come you are here...?". Bharat Jodo Yatra had already started, and so I gave a journalistic response: "I am also on Bharat Jodo Yatra". 


Rahul values Jairam Ramesh; but the Congress working style came to the fore in Nagaland itself.


While Mallikarjun Kharge addressed the Dimapur rally, vocal and much popular Congress leader Shashi Tharoor was cleverly asked to rush to state capital Kohima. No one in Dimapur will now perhaps remember that Kharge even addressed the gathering. That's Congress efficacy model. 


All these ultimately contribute in helping Modi. 


Tharoor: a good 'party president' Congress missed

 

But Team Modi is does not seem to be caring about some of the problems of Congress era that has affected the BJP already. Or do they?  


Recently, an article in 'Indian Express' by Pratap Bhanu Mehta says: The Prime Minister still displays enormous energy in electioneering. But the sense of imaginative exhaustion (from their own point of view) is palpable. 

The political consequences of this mood affiliation will not be easy for the PM to navigate; it is evident in the way his speeches are now, even from his own interests, out of joint. Too many claims".


Notwithstanding one is a Modi Bhakt; and strongly will favour Modi's return as Prime Minister singularly because we cannot have another rounds of Deve Gowdas or I K Gujral varieties, -- but one cannot agree more with Modi critic Mehta as well.


Mehta also spoke about “Minimum Government, Maximum Governance?" and so on. I will go a step further and would try to highlight 'minimum PMO and maximum MHA' . 






This is becoming a problem area for Narendra Modi. Take for instance, the Naga peace talks, the progress made on the matter has been stalled slightly because of an unreasonable set of demands from NSCN-IM and slightly because Amit Shah has started consulting everybody. 


The manner in which R N Ravi was removed to Tamil Nadu was unjustified and that actually was a result of Neiphiu Rio-Himanta friendship and that's something which only helped some people raise their ego graph.  


How much Amit Shah thought seriously before taking such a decision is not clear ?


Under new interlocutor A K Mishra, who is also designated as Advisor North East, there is hardly any progress in parleys. A lot of hope was generated even a few months back that the 'IPS fraternity' for a change will contribute something vital in northeast. But now there is no roadmap. 


Apparently, key protagonists are also clueless on how things should be taken to the next stage vis-a-vis Article 371 (A) and the 6th Schedule in Nagaland. 


With or without Manipur unrest, 371 (C) is perhaps also in debate for this northeastern state -- which today shows that a northeastern man or woman can easily land up in confrontation with oneself over any or multiple issues under the sky.  









For his part, Ravi is not quite happy in Chennai, nor is DMK or the Chief Minister M K Stalin. Ravi may be brought as a union minister or a special advisor attached to PMO and again given the necessary mandate to work on Naga issue. The other 'appeasement card' has not helped the situation much.


The status quo has only helped the same bunch of Netas in Nagaland and they are more keen to issue statements claiming 'mission accomplished'; than doing anything concrete to help accomplish the target -- that is Solution to insurgency or ensure Peace.


Nagaland BJP leaders and ministers still have to clarify whether with Modi around, they also think that the Naga peace talks are at Elusive stage. 


Achieving a Solution agreement with Naga rebels after exerting enough pressure in 'saboteurs' will not only be an achievement, it will be a game-changer in northeast. 


It will salvage PM Modi's image, bring relief to countless citizens and also give a powerful message for Peace in a region which ultimately will play a major role in the success of Modi's vision of Act East policy.


Over to Monsoon Session of Parliament, lot of expectations still around !






ends 

6 comments:

  1. "You have hit the nail on the head and hope it reaches the eyes of PM." - a retired central Govt employee

    ReplyDelete
  2. "...constitutionally Governors are supposed to be apolitical eminent personnel and taking them as ministers will send a wrong message" - A senior political activist in Meghalaya

    ReplyDelete
  3. "It's a very diplomatic narrative to say that an individual however talented he may be can't handle the party and the govt ... articulations highly appreciated" - A K Angami, Western Angami region

    ReplyDelete
  4. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  5. "Low intensity warfare is beneficial for the Government. It helps train their forces to remain active and war worthy. Soldiers trained in Gorilla (guerrila) warfare school Mizoram spending large amount of money and resources may not be producing as much able soldiers. But conflicts in the NE and JK have produced many..... " - a security analyst on condition of anonymity

    ReplyDelete
  6. प्रवचन अच्छा है। लेकिन मालूम नही कि मोदी की तारीफ़ कर रहे हो या......? देखना होगा Nadda और Modi कितना हजम कर पाते हैं!!! : senior Patrakar (Bharat)

    ReplyDelete

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