Modi Magic prevails, BJP takes lead in Chhattisgarh, MP, Rajasthan !! certain things confirmed.... Congress and Muslims made for each other ! OBCs back Modi

Congress crosses majority mark in #Telangana in early trends, counting underway. Congress leader Uttam Kumar Reddy says, the BRS became "too arrogant and corrupt".

AIMIM suffers mega jolts.... BJP leads in nine seats in Telangana. Will Hyderabad get a new MP in place of Asaduddin Owaisi in 2024 ? 

   

Modi Magic prevails in Hindi heartland; BJP does well even in Chhattisgarh !

Congress party's OBC census does not make impact in Hindi-Hindu heartland states.

The BJP's good shows in the two Hindi and Hindu-heartland states - Madhya Pradesh (that is under BJP now) and Rajasthan augur well for its chances of success in the 2024 general elections and help Narendra Modi score hat-trick. 

In contrast, Congress was maintaining early lead in Chhattisgarh despite serious charges against Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel in the think of election season. 

But the BJP likely to get back hold in Bastar-Naxal hit southern region of #Chhattisgarh .... now (10.30 am) leading in 52 as against 35 by Congress. 

Together, the three states make up 65 of the 543 elected seats in India's parliament.  In 2014 when the BJP and its allies swept the national polls, they won over 315 of the 543 seats. In 2014, the BJP claimed 61 of the 65 seats in these key states. In 2019, out of 11 seats in Chhattisgarh, the BJP had won 9. 

In Madhya Pradesh, BJP won 28 and Congress only one. In Rajasthan, it was clean sweep with 24 seats for the saffron party and one seat (out of 25) had gone to its ally RLP. Thus three states had given BJP -- 62.  

Early trends suggest, BJP leading in 103 in Rajasthan and 130 in Madhya Pradesh -- meaning it has crossed half-way mark already even as these are only early trends. 

KCR..... awaiting Dec 3, 2023 mandate 

There is a TRS vis-a-vis KCR story from Telangana.  

In 1983, even NTR's son-in-law Chandrababu Naidu (now TDP supremo) contested the Assembly election on a Congress ticket but lost.

Later Naidu joined TDP and slowly emerged the chief player and in fact marginalised NTR himself. 

Naidu was sworn in as the chief minister of Andhra Pradesh in 1995 after his successful coup against NTR. 

Naidu gave K Chandrashekar Rao or KCR a Cabinet berth, but after winning the election in 1999, Naidu denied KCR a Cabinet berth and made him deputy Speaker of the Andhra Assembly. 

Frustrated KCR quit the TDP and launched the Telangana Rashtra Samithi in 2001, which fought for a separate Telangana state and as the statehood came in 2014, it was natural for him to reap the dividends.

KCR's children: Kavitha and KTR 

“People were content with what they got — the gas cylinders, rural houses and toilets and hence we won 2019 polls and we will again 2024 under the leadership of Narendra Modi," says a BJP poll strategist. 

Five states those went to polls are Mizoram, where Congress has lost ground and BJP is finding it tough to bloom 'lotus' in the hard rocks. There are two Congress-ruled states Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh. Rajasthan has a reputation of changing government every five years. 

In 2018, BJP lost power in these two states and hopes to regain hold in Rajasthan notwithstanding disunity in the camp. The saffron party had lost Madhya Pradesh but could wrest power after ensuring defection of Jyotiraditya Scindia. But the BJP has gambled with the same Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan and the apprehension is he has been overused. In the fifth state of Telangana, the BJP is not a major force to reckon and if Muslim voters decide, the Congress could make a comeback.  

A few questions those need to be looked into. Whether the voters are still ready to endorsed Modi’s style of governance ?

How effective can be the Congress’ attempts to project PM Modi as a failure and with nexus with capitalists especially Gujarati industrialist Gautam Adani? Whether, voters are still falling for freebies? 

In the last nine years since 2019, Modi and the BJP have repeatedly shown how they abhor 'Nehruvian politics' or what the BJP calls the 'dynasty rule Nehru-Gandhi family'. 

Nehru, his daughter Indira Gandhi and her son Rajiv Gandhi together headed the government in New Delhi for as many as 37 years. Congressman Manmohan Singh was in power for 10 years between 2004 and 2014; and between 1991 and 1996 - there was another Congress veteran in power - P V Narasimha Rao.

In other words, we may easily conclude that the Indian political history has shed its 'status quo' tag.