Consensus is a mere adjective that does not go with the realism in politics.
Hence, the Govt of India is now 'extra cautious' and some sources indicate there is already an "high alert".
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| Well Played !! |
The NSCN-IM has stated that its 'Army' conducted a Change of Guard ceremony on Nov 29, 2025, Saturday at the Longvibu Conference Hall, marking the formal handover of command from 'Gen Ningkhan Shimray' to Lt Gen Honreishang Shadang.
Shimray served as the Commander-in-Chief, also known as Longvibu, for the past eight years.
A media statement said - “He was accorded a grand military guard of honor as he walked past the red carpet upon his retirement from military service after 45 years in the (Naga) army".
The Govt of India 'mandarins' now feel some of the developments are on expected lines vis-a-vis "the routine and extra ordinary inputs" collected at various levels in Nagaland, outside Nagaland including Manipur and also partly in Myanmar.
Hence the refrain is nuanced. "We may smile today ... because it is not our affairs. It has happened in someone else's house ... So let it be".
These words are significant as post Oct 22 Somdal 'fiasco and high drama'; agencies have spoken about internal power struggles.
These will increase manifold.
Hence, the refrain is that the mandarins in Delhi and multiple wings in the northeast and 'assets' working across the international borders are running extra mile and "results are always good when one works hard".
This is an age of information, a large quantum of information and also the era of disinformation. Hence, there is a need for an objective and robust analysis and that should be impartial and without prejudices.
The 'effectiveness' of any information has to be maintained and that errors are also corrected quickly.
No change of guard or power tussle happens without winners and losers. In this case; analysts say the advantage is with V S Atem, deputy Ato Kiloser of the organisation.
Delhi has been observing him and dealing with him for last few years in pro-active manner. It is likely now Atem may get calls from 'friends in Myanmar'.
Emerging Possibility of a New Faction Splitting from NSCN-IM.
Social media will confirm that in July 2024, Lt. Gen. (Retd.) H S Ramsan (Hangshi) and Lt Gen Absalom Raman were officially suspended by the leadership of the NSCN-IM on serious allegations.
Hangshi was once considered one of the most trusted figures within the organization and since then both the leaders continue to operate in the Myanmar region.
The change of guard is a key episode in any armed group and so now there is speculation if not the possibilities of a gradual follow up.
In certain circles - the 'key word' in the last 15-18 hours has been "retirement". People may be also keeping an eye on Ikato Chishi Swu, a notable figure in Naga political circles and associated with the legacy of founding chairman.
In 2024, the official agencies have been murmuring about Swu’s alignment with Hangshi Ramsan and Raman.
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| Always powerful - Thuingaleng Muivah |
Others could be keeping an eye on things unfolding around Pamshin Muivah, National Security Advisor.
Delhi mandarins yet again say the NSCN-IM has always exhibited a hegemonic tendency and tried to browbeat the other Naga groups due to their military might. Leaders belonging to tribes from Nagaland state may also feel that there is an ongoing attempt by the select and powerful leaders to ensure that the bonhomie generated among the leaders of the different groups is disturbed.
But "unity" among Nagas of Nagaland should not be allowed to suffer.
As deputy Ato Kilonser VS Atem has been running the show but at times -- New Delhi got inputs - that some other individuals and sub-groups could also prevail.
Pamshin had earlier this year in June leveled serious allegations against H S Ramsan of having nexus with the top leadership of the National Unity Government/NUG of Myanmar and the Kuki militia groups.
For its part, the Modi government is keen for inking of a final Solution pact. But it wants a final peace pact based on a singular draft. Hence pressure may be mounting and some stakeholders will have to shed its negativity.
The democratic aspiration of the Naga people is now a lasting peace and development.
The success of Nov 18 Common Platform rally has impressed many while many others have lost sleep.
One simple message has been given that Kohima will simply have to follow the 'New Delhi line' because constitutionally a state Govt in India is subordinate to the Govt of India.
ends
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