What's common between KCR, Tejashwi and Kejriwal ??? Focus shifts to Parl session ... Budget 2024-25 ...... BJP's top priority to retain power in Maharashtra and Haryana by Oct 2024

The maiden Parliament session post the big battle of 2024 is likely to be stormy.  

On Monday, June 24, 280 newly-elected MPs, including Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Council of Ministers, will take oath, while 264 newly-elected parliamentarians will take oath on Tuesday, June 25.

The election to the post of Lok Sabha Speaker will take place on June 26 and the Prime Minister will introduce his council of ministers to the House soon after.

The President is scheduled to address the joint sitting of both Houses of Parliament on June 27. 

The debate on the Motion of Thanks to the President's Address will begin on June 28. PM Modi is expected to respond to the debate on July 2 or 3.

Both the Houses are expected to go into a brief recess and re-assemble on July 22 for the presentation of the Union Budget.

Even the conventional and routine anointment of B Mahtab, BJP lawmaker from Cuttack in Odisha, has run into controversy with the Congress, Left and other parties raising the Dalit bogey and stating that Congress MP K Suresh deserved to be given the honour. 

With their relative success in the just concluded parliamentary polls, the opposition will be in more aggressive mood. The BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi himself will be on back foot as party's number came down below 272 mark. In fact, the saffron party took a hit of as many as 63 seats from its tally in 2019.

In contrast, the Congress tally has almost doubled to 99 from a modest 52 it had polled in 2019. The Congress ecosystem is already talking about Brand Rahul's rise and so-called revival of the grand old party and on the other hand the decline in the equity vis-a-vis Brand Modi.  

For BJP, the 2024 mandate may be an emotional outcome and also motivated by caste, religion and local issues. This was an accidental mandate and they hope nothing much has changed on ground vis-a-vis the popularity of Modi himself.  

In the process, important things to keep an watch will be the debate on Motion of Thanks to President's address, the Budget 2024 and at a later stage performance of both BJP and Congress in three state polls - Jharkhand, Haryana and Maharashtra. 

Of course by September 30, the centre and the Election Commission are duty bound to hold polls in Jammu and Kashmir. The process is on both at the political and administrative levels.  

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's Budget is also being talked about and it has all the potentials to decide the course of politics in next few months. The Opposition Congress and even parties like Trinamool will be desperate to take a shot at government formation if the NDA allies start moving the other way. 

The TDP and 16 MPs can be trusted as N Chandrababu Naidu would not like to harm his reputation and long term interest of his party by doing anything that may help Congress.  However, challenges are complex. 

The crucial polls in Maharashtra, Haryana and Jharkhand will also tell the political class which way the wind is blowing. 

If brand Moditva fails again and fails miserably, there will be immense problems for the Modi-Shah duo. The meeting between Yogi Adityanath and RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat was important development since June 4 when UP gave a shocking verdict to the saffron party within months of inauguration of the Ram temple. 

The Congress and other opposition parties may start making political moves by December 2024 before or during the winter session of parliament.

A fact ignored by analysts:

Mandate 2024 also leave a few key players frustrated and it is not the usual Modi-Shah duo only. 

They are Arvind Kejriwal. The mandate was yet again people's disapproval to allow the AAP and leader take a big role at the national level. Mind you, Kejriwal is after his bigger ambition since 2014 when he contested against Modi in Varanasi. But he lost miserably. The BJP also won all seven seats in Delhi in 2014 and 2019 and even in 2024. There was no sympathy wave for Kejriwal going behind bars.

The AAP is desperate to draw a sympathy wave in favour of Kejriwal. It has thsus said Kejirwal, who was weighing 70 kg at the time of his arrest, his weight has dropped to a concerning 62 kg by June 22. Kejriwal tried other games in other states. 

He failed in Punjab yet again despite having 93 assembly seats in the state. 

Second leader who will be frustrated is RJD leader and Lalu Prasad's son Tejashwi Yadav. 

His party's electoral success in 2020 assembly polls had created hopes in many that he will probably emerge a key player in cow-belt politics. Instead, in 2024, another Yadav brethern Akhilesh Yadav has emerged real Chhote Nawab of Lucknow. 

The third leader to figure in this list in KCR. Former CM of Telangana had even changed his party's name from TRS to BRS. Today, the party does not have either its hold in Telangana and also in Lok Sabha. 

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