Intra organisational pulls of Naga Militants under Govt's scanner
Developments in NNPG and also NSCN-IM make analysts curious
New Delhi
By definition, 'Information warfare' is a 21st-century phenomenon.
It's a warfare that uses and 'exploits' information and communication technology to gain an advantage over an opponent.
The government agencies operationalise some of these in milder and even experimental basis on militant organisations in the northeast.
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| NSCN leaders near 'Great Wall of China' - 1960s |
These days such a methodology has come helpful to track developments in Naga militant bodies as well. "This is giving us a minimum advantage as we have some vital information either in advance or they have not been shared with the public yet," -- goes a refrain.
Hence, experts say various agencies are able to work on the NSCN-IM as well as other Naga bodies, especially the conglomerate Naga National Political Group (NNPG).
The differences in GPRN/NSCN (Unification) between veteran N Kitovi Zhimomi and his trusted lieutenant Alezo Venuh came to some of these agencies about 10 days before the real split. "So, we were not taken by surprise...," admits an insider.
It was also claimed that -- "There was a gradual build up. We did not want to get between.... otherwise Kitovi could have possibly shelved or thwarted the move. But what goes inside an organisation hardly bothers us as these have no direct and long term impact on the peace talks".
However, the mandarins now want Kitovi and Alezo to bury their differences and at this "critical juncture" - the umbrella body NNPG should present a united face.
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| NNPG - smart ideologue Alezo |
Hawk's eyes are on the NSCN-IM as well. Those in the know say the 'China-based leaders' are lately taking a tougher stance and apparently not happy at certain developments.
The third party 'international intervention' is probably the brainchild of the hardliners.
After Flag and Naga Constitution demands were categorically rejected by the Government more than once; the 'China lobby' wants to add a tougher element -- that is the third party international intervention.
But a section of leaders in the NSCN-IM under pressure from New Delhi and 'repeated requests' by state players are often taking a moderate stance.
Moreover, the NPHMR and other civil society bodies have already met Deputy Ato Kilonser V S Atem and cautioned him against reviving of violence.
New Delhi analysts also feel the press statement of Nov 7 - wherein general secretary Thuingaleng Muivah himself spoke about abrogation of ceasefire was "unlike Muivah's sharp diplomatic approach".
Some experts in Delhi known for sympathising with the Naga civil population in a general and humanitarian sense are extremely worried.
Is the Naga insurgency now gradually transiting to the stage of ‘implosion’ from the earlier phase of ‘explosion’, one of them posed a quizzer.
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| Blogger - forgotten warrior for Solution ? |
Another question, even this journo is often asked -- if no solution comes during Muivah’s lifetime will there be a solution after Muivah... What's the guarantee?
The 'moderates' if any are also cautious that it may not be wise to issue statements of breaking the ties as many of these NSCN-IM leaders have also developed 'personal rapport' with protagonists in the corridors of power in Delhi.
BJP national president J P Nadda about six months back "got feelers" that a few NSCN-IM leaders were keen for an informal and courteous meeting. He has left the matter to the Ministry of Home Affairs to work out details.
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| A mobile savvy Kitovi |
A suave former spokesman Rh Raising recently tried to give some message and for their part, Delhi experts and ex-military officers find it "moderate and reasonable to an extent".
Deputy Ato Kiloser V S Atem also has many "well wishers" among Indian intellectuals and retired personalities especially in connection to the Gwalior region of Madhya Pradesh.
The feedback from government agencies to Delhi bosses suggests a few more harsh statements will be out in the media. But there is no need for any knee-jerk reaction.
"Some statements could be to checkmate the unity and growth graph in popularity of the NNPG. But some media statements are basically to counter moderates among their own colleagues," say those in the know of things.
The developments related to Hangshi Tangkhul and Absolom Tangkhu are also "curious subjects" for Delhi experts.
There is possibly some pressure from the China lobby too on this front.
In 2023, NIA had claimed that "the Chin-Myanmar module of NSCN-IM" based in Myanmar under the leadership of Hangshi and Absolom Tangkhul had decided to extend support to the proscribed Kanglei Yawol Kanna Lup (KYKL) under the leadership of N Oken, chairman of KYKL and Manipur's PLA under the leadership of M M Ngouba.
Does this mean 'bad days' for any individual or a small group?
New Delhi is either clueless or tight-lipped. But the threat about reviving violence has certainly not made them happy.
ends
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| Late Isak Swu and mercurial Muivah |
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