Pre-poll opinion poll or surveys can always go wrong: But it seems as of now Times Now-ETG survey may be near the target

 The poll indicates that if elections were held today, PM Narendra Modi is poised to return with a bang and a secured third term in office. Of course, the opposition parties do not believe so and the chips might have gone down in the SICKULARISM INDUSTRY - broadly the ecosystem and the select media houses and columnists. 

Much to the discomfort of fish-fry journalism and others, the survey says the BJP and its NDA allies are likely to win over 300 seats and the Opposition is projected to win anything between160 to 190 seats. 

To be precise, the NDA's target may touch 296 to 326 MP seats. On its own, the BJP tally may end up between 288 and 314. 

Among the states, the opinion poll conducted in Andhra Pradesh predicted a clean sweep for Jagan Mohan Reddy-led YSRCP.

The YRCP would bag 24 to 25 Lok Sabha seats whereas TDP of N Chandrababu Naidu may manage to pick up only one MP seat. The survey was conducted between June 15 and Aug 12. 

The YSRCP is predicted to secure a humongous vote percentage of 51.3 percent. In 2019, the YSRCP bagged 22 MP seats with 49.8 percent vote.
The YSRCP’s vote percentage is expected to increase by 1.5 percent.  

Importantly however, of the total 543 MP seats, NDA may get 42.60 % voteshare while I.N.D.I.A bloc may come quite close bagging 40.20% votes.

The survey claims, the BJP/NDA is likely to win around 70 out of the 80 seats available in three states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat. 

Much to the chagrin of the Congress camp, the survey claims Rahul Gandhi's hyped 'Bharat Jodo Yatra' of having a limited impact and the Congress could end up winning 62-80 seats in the next Lok Sabha polls. This would mean modest to significant increase but not enough to stall Modi's return to power. Nitish Kumar-led JD(U) will possibly find the going tough. 

The survey says, NDA is poised to win 22-24 seats in Bihar while I.N.D.I.A is predicted to emerge victorious in 16-18 seats. 

However, the Opposition parties are predicted to do well in South India like in Tamil Nadu and Kerala. However, internal rifts could hamper in Telangana.

In Tamil Nadu, the DMK-Congress alliance is expected to win 30-34 (57.2 per cent) while the AIADMK-NDA alliance will bag 4-8 seats with a vote share of 27.8 per cent. 

In Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan - the two states where assembly polls are due later this year - the survey says the BJP's tally touch 22 in each. In West Bengal, the TMC's tally could be the same as in 2019 notwithstanding the hype and ambitions of their party supremo Mamata Banerjee trying her luck for the big post.