And they have all the reasons to smile
After Kashmir’s special status under Article 370 was abrogated and and the Ram Mandir in Ayodhya is already a reality.
The CAA is not only for West Bengal or Lok Sabha polls 2024. The 'experiment' is successful. Gujarat - in retrospect looks like a smaller college laboratory. The big laboratory and the Big Picture is here -- the 39-page CAA Rules of 2024 actually lays the foundation to talk about 'Polarising India'.
A nationwide-NRC will now will be useful political rhetoric and it will help the BJP beyond 2024 -- in 2025 - Delhi polls --- in 2026 in West Bengal assembly polls yet again and also considerably in 2029 parliamentary elections --- without or with Modi.
And if you take the words of Narendra Modi detractors and the 'traditional' Modi-bashing club - emotive issues like CAA and NRC also help to keep the voters distracted from issues such as joblessness and other yardsticks of socio-economic development and even infra development promises.
There is another crucial reason for the Modi-Shah duo to smile. The Congress has been left leaking their wounds and look more as a confused political organisation which has miles to go wrest back the political momentum it lost after defeat in 2014 and in later period.
The momentum of eastern India vis-a-vis the politics of CAA will help BJP make deeper penetration in southern states as well.
In Tamil Nadu, unwittingly the DMK has opened a space for the BJP to work with upper caste Hindus as Sanatan Dharm is being attacked on a regular basis.
Even otherwise, due to anti incumbency and other factors such as 'weakening' of AIDMK, a substantial chunk of the anti-DMK votes will go to BJP this time. In terms of analysis, one can say --
Religion remains the prime emotive factor in India’s national elections.
Modi's government intends to give a "permanent address" to these persecuted Hindus from the three Muslim-dominated nations.
Critics of the law say it excludes Muslims who migrated to India, mainly from Bangladesh. There are some 1 million Bangladeshi Muslims, 90 percent of them living in Indian states bordering that country.
They will not be welcome in India and will be either deported or rendered stateless. Hence, Muslim groups and rights bodies have opposed the implementation of the law.
Massive protests were witnessed at the time of the CAA’s passing in December 2019 forcing the Modi government to delay formulating the rules for implementation.
Angry protests in the national capital New Delhi and sensitive border states like Assam leading to clashes between opponents and supporters of the law left hundreds injured.
Some supporters believe announcing its implementation ahead of the national election is “a political masterstroke.”
“It will help pro-Hindu and anti-Muslim polarization in sensitive states such as West Bengal bordering Bangladesh,” feels Ramakanto Shanyal, a political observer based in the eastern state.
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