What dropping of 91 lakh voters names in West Bengal mean ? :::: Why BJP thinks it has ADVANTAGE and why Trinamool is crying having left to leak its wounds ??

 Why the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress is crying having left to leak its wounds while the principal opposition BJP thinks it has ADVANTAGE ?? !! 

Ground Zero - Villager near Sitai town North Bengal 

The total number of electors in West Bengal brought down to 7.04 crore from 7.66 crore. An additional five lakh voters were deleted from the final rolls published on February 28.

That brings the total deletion of voters from West Bengal’s electoral rolls at slightly below 91 lakh. Now let us take a closer look on who gained and who seems to have lost the initial part of the battle and how. 

In 2024 Lok Sabha polls - there were 89 assembly segments seats where the victory margin between the TMC and BJP were less than 10,000.

Among these - 51 seats went in favour of Mamata Banerjee's party and 48 were BJP. 

Among seats won by TMC (out of 51) now there are 49 seats where the names deleted range from

--- 10,000 to 30,000 voters.

Now comes the catch. Around 70-75 per cent of such 'deleted' voters are Muslims and women --- and both sections as blocs primarily had backed the Trinamool Congress. 

That means if adverse fallout of SIR falls in these 89 seats -- local experts say the TMC will be at Disadvantage and the BJP's tally may significantly cross 120-130 (based on the estimates of vote share polled in 2024). 

  

So, this brings the 2026 assembly polls also a contest of arithmetic. But the TMC will bank on the 'narratives' that the BJP is a Hindi-Hindu party run by Gujaratis and they deliberately deprived many Muslim voters from participating in the elections. 

Again compared to 2024 Lok Sabha polls -- out of 89 seats where victory margins were less than 10,000 -- the BJP had "taken lead" in 33 seats. 

Out of these in many as 28 segments (the number of voters deleted outnumber the differences in votes polled in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls).  

   

Blogger - Field duty : TMC region 'writing on the wall' 

Now the broad calculus: 

Total numbers of 'ineligible' voters --- 

Maximum - Murshidabad district - 4,55,137 

Malda district -- 2,39,375 

Nadia district - 2,08,626 

North 24 Parganas - 3,25,666

South 24 Parganas - 2,22, 929 

Purba Bardhaman - 2,09,805  

There is another data that has already been flagged off by TMC.  

A total of 2,826 names have been deleted from the electoral rolls in Nandigram in the supplementary lists. 

Of these, 2,700 are Muslims — that means over 95 per cent of deletions. 

Here is more -- In West Bengal, draft rolls published on December 16 (2025) excluded over 58 lakh registered voters marked as 

Absent, Shifted, Dead and Duplicate.

Here also Muslims accounted for around 33% of those on these four category 'deletion' (ASDD) list.

 

Common People's perception: 

While the Left is remembered for ideological rigidity and economic decay, the TMC is increasingly accused of cultivating a “threat culture” marked by political violence and the erosion of free thought.

Aurobindo Sen, a retired banker, agrees, noting that the use of intimidation and “rowdyism” shows troubling continuity from the Left era. Economically, the story remains bleak. Industrial investment continues to elude West Bengal, reinforcing cultural stagnation.

This raises a central question: Can ‘ashol poriborton’ truly happen ? 

The BJP, however, carries its own baggage. Its Hindutva is not acceptable to most Hindus in this province who prefer pluralism. Moreover, mercurial leader Mamata Banerjee is also very popular at the grassroots level.  And by far she remains one of few regional players who is still resisting BJP strongly.   

More Data :  

In as many as nine districts -- after SIR -- (from the grievances on Draft left) - the latest revelation is Number of Ineligible voters more than eligible voters. 

In total there were about 60 lakh voters (those names were reconsidered after grievances).

Out of these -- about 27 lakh names have been dropped/deleted after scrutiny. However, they can go to Tribunals.  

Take another set of figures :: In 2026 - after SIR and second time scrutiny - around 91 lakh names dropped.

In 2021 the total differences in votes (polled) between TMC and BJP was - 60 lakh

In 2024 Lok Sabha polls - differences in total votes polled between them was - 42 lakh.

(See the change from 2021 figures. In other words, BJP's 'total votes' increased.)

 

source - The Telegraph