April 21st ... will be the last day of campaign for the first round of polling on April 23rd in West Bengal. All elections can always have one or two surprise element(s).
'Give Aways' -- Almost accepting Defeat !!
Three things suggest as of now TMC leadership is certainly unnerved:
- One, "Something is being planned" in the next 150 hours -- is a line taken by TMC leaders Derek-O-Brien and Shashi Panja. Essentially both are rootless members of Mamata-Abhishek's inner circle.
Mamata always would lack in confidence in Bengali leaders with roots and understanding. In 2011, when she shifted to Kolkata from Delhi as CM; she trusted a 'Gujarati' (so much of a bad word for her in 2026) to be Railway Minister and in-charge as cabinet Minister. Anglo-Indian Quiz Master presumed for long his sophisticated English would make him a talented parliamentarian. India's politics has proved good quizzing skill is no match for good politics !!
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| Mamata made herself a laughing stock for suggesting that women should not roam outside in night |
In fact, TMC's decline in Delhi politics coincides with Derek's rise. Also remember his Anglo Indian screaming "Manipur, Manipur" in 2023. The deep state and Christian lobbies knew how to do some jobs neatly.
Prior to that did he visit Manipur or knew certain places like Churachandpur is again a good quizzing question.
- Secondly, it is reported - somewhere Mamata told her admirers - "Abar dekha hobey,
Raha Trinamool toh phir milenge
......(If we win, we shall meet again)". These are reflections of volunary nervousness more guided by science of biology and mind stress than political science.
Thirdly, before the first ball is bowled; meaning first hour of voting - a frustrated Derek again has his quote - more pathetic than Kalyan Banerjee's legal argument.
"Nineteen political parties and around 300 MPs had earlier moved an impeachment notice against the Chief Election Commissioner.
In the coming days, a fresh impeachment notice with additional charges will be brought," he said.
Before Khela starts; the wailing is clear - let us shoot the referee.
Bravo, Brilliant and billion dollar painting plot for Mamata. If BJP's May 4th (char Mayee, Didi Gayii) comes true. Aaapa will have a brother in Dhaka. Dinesh Trivedi has been nominated by PM Narendra Modi's government as India's High Commissioner in Bangladesh.
On the other hand, it could be only half truth; the BJP leaders are upbeat.
"Mamata Banerjee is nervous...she realised that people of Bengal will surely defeat her", says Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan. Parliamentary Affairs and Minority Affairs minister Kiren Rijiju says - the voters will deliver a bad consequence to those who stalled the Women Bill. Consequences are clear in more ways than one; and albeit in negative format for Mamata.
Firstly, the new rhetoric of Mamata of 2026 is of an injured tigress leaking wounds. She is on back foot.
Amit Shah and Bengal team of BJP has provoked Mamata in multiple ways. The SIR was foremost. Mamata initially fooled people by saying she will not allow the review exercise. She and her party planted stories of 'suicides'. She went to Supreme Court - where she was snubbed.
She was losing cool - something Samik Bhattacharya and Suvendu Adhikari could also sense.
Mamata abused Amit Shah for his frequent visit to Bengal.
Amit Shah herself dismissed her as a leader of gimmicks and even told the manner she faked injuries on her foot 2021.
This hurt her ego.
Her weakness about I-PAC was a good info provided to BJP from TMC insiders.
NIA and ED plunged into taking up cases against IPAC and TMC functionaries. Even a top IPAC functionary has been held.
There was enough negative publicity especially in social media despite the Fish Fry journalism newspapers, a few select English tabloids and TV channels singing different songs.
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| Field Work : Rural Bengal - Blogger |
A few independent analysts with past experience in Kolkata media like Suman Chattopadhyay and Bishwanath Bhattacharjee their part of the stories fearlessly.
Aggressive ED made some Trinaool leaders run to hospitals for 'protection'. TMC campaign journey too was disturbed.
Arrest of a director of IPAC in Delhi on coal scam charges shocked a large section of voters shocked. Suddenly, the die-hard Mamata admirers are getting a sense that Mamata is losing control over things.
The actions initiated against IPAC bosses and a few TMC leaders have helped BJP 'campaign cause'.
Narendra Modi himself threw up a warning -- The Prime Minister in a public meeting warned Trinamool "goons and syndicates" to surrender by April 29.
This is like the 'loudest part' of any campaign.
Never has Modi done something like this in an election rally in any state earlier. Addressing a BJP rally in Bishnupur, Modi said, “I am giving one last chance to all TMC goons, syndicates, and corrupt elements.
Surrender at your nearest police station before April 29. No one will be spared after May 4. The mafia of Bishnupur and TMC's syndicate, listen carefully, this will no longer be tolerated.”
On political front, BJP's manifesto here was practical and even going against the saffron party's unofficial declaration not to encourage freebies.
The Sankalp Patra for Bengal had "doles generously listed out".
Mamata could not match such promises,
Moreover, TMC's growth graph is pathetic. Badly managed economy in last 15 years have made things worse and her govt has "resources problems" so much that she had no option of increasing doles.
Mamata’s campaign focused on SII and silly issues like they offered "fish delicacies" for Amit Shah's 15-day stay plan. This sounded cheap, ridiculous and unlike Bengali culture - where you are showing "assamman (disrespect)" to a guest's food habits.
Under pressure 'coherence' of a political campaign was lost.
One former TMC MP says: "I remember 2014 March when Didi lost that political coherence after Ram Lila Maidan rally flopped. There were empty chairs and even chief guest for the day's rally Anna Hazare did not come".
ends
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