Thursday, April 16, 2026

"Ek State and Ek Mamata ... BJP ko Majboor Kar Diya ::::: Only one leader and One State made all the difference :::::: How Modi's Women Quota Bill and Delimitation push are linked to the 2026 'Big Battle of Bangal' ??

The BJP and its allies have been able to successfully woo voters in 

Assam

, Bihar, 

Madhya Pradesh 

and Maharashtra.

In these states, women-focused schemes like Orunodoi, Mahila Rozgar Yojana, Ladli Behna, and Ladki Bahin are successful and all are "NDA brainchild".




In West Bengal, Trinamool's Lakshmir Bhandar scheme has been hugely popular and a vote-garnering mechanism in favour of Mamata.

In states from Bihar to Madhya Pradesh; the NDA is/was in power and could offer these financial schemes. 

But in West Bengal, it is in the opposition, and the best it can do is offer a promise. 

The Delimitation Bill, pivoted on the reservation of 33% seats in Parliament and Assemblies, is that promise. 

Of course, the big picture scene is not clear and only the Womb of Time can answer on May 4th (when votes will be counted) whether this Nari Shakti push had actually played any significant role in swinging West Bengal election outcome.





West Bengal Data:


TMC won 213 seats in the 2021 Assembly election with a vote share of 48%. 

The BJP won 77 seats and a 39% vote share. 

There is a clear 9% vote share difference between the TMC and the BJP.  


In the 2021 Assembly polls, among the women voters, support for Mamata's TMC touched 50%. The survey also revealed that the TMC polled 13% more women's votes than the BJP. 


So the Team Modi-Shah needed something special to take the battle to the enemy camp in the Mamata-ruled West Bengal. 

In 2016 also, the Trinamool Congress dominated the women's vote share and had 12% more women's support than the Left and Congress alliance.










In West Bengal there is always high women voter turnout.


In 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the state witnessed a female voter turnout of nearly 82% and the male voter turnout was 78%. 

The TMC won 29 Lok Sabha seats out of the total 42 seats in the state. 

Women have played a significant role in every election in Bengal and hence it is estimated this neo-Nari Shakti push could cause the ultimate DAMAGE to Mamata's voter base. 


The Modi tabled these bills despite not having a two-thirds majority in both the Rajya Sabha and the Lok Sabha.


The BJP leaders knew there would be serious opposition to Delimitation in Tamil Nadu.

Yet they took the big risk. 

The issue of Delimitation has become a major political issue and could help DMK stage a come back. 






The Trinamool Congress is also among the top parties to field women candidates for the 2026 Assembly election. It has given tickets to 52 women candidates (294 seats), making it around 20% of the total contestants. In the BJP's case, it is 11%.


In the current Lok Sabha, the Trinamool Congress has 11 women MPs, which is around 38% of its 29 total MPs. 

This makes the Mamata Banerjee-led party to have the highest percentage of women Lok Sabha MPs among major political parties.

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