The Directorate General of Forces Intelligence (DGFI), Bangladesh's premier military intelligence, will continue to play a "pivotal role" in Bangladesh in perhaps all sectors of governance - social and political, a keen Bangladesh watcher has said.
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| New Bangladesh PM : Tarique Rahman |
Addressing a seminar on 'Security Challenges to the North East : Assessment and Way Forward' -- the expert said - understanding the complex dynamics of Bangladesh army becomes crucial while trying to get a grasp of the security situations and the role that nation will play as India's eastern neighbour.
"The ISI of Pakistan and DGFI are structured similarly... This started in 1975 when Bangabandhu (Sheik Mujib) was assassinated and therefore the nexus between the ISI and DGFI will continue".
But he hastened to add that this nexus will continue to happen till Bangladesh army chief and the 'people in power' in Dhaka keep giving green signals. He also said few appointments and changes made in the Bangladesh army after the installation of Tarique Rahman-led BNP government in Dhaka give "enough positive signals vis-a-vis India".
Another area that needs to be "monitored" is the growing influence of Turkish NGOs in Bangladesh. He said the growing influence of Jamaat as a political force cannot be ignored or underestimated.
He Jamaat has got 31 per cent of votes making 68 seats has been a good show. The Jamaat has consolidated its position in Bangladesh politics over the last 15 years when Sheikh Hasina was in power and there was no effective opposition.
Bangladesh Islami Chhatra Shibir remains a very influential body, he said.
The Students' body Chhatra Shibir is a major Islamic student organization in Bangladesh that was established in 1977. It is considered as the de facto 'male student wing of Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami'.
The organization traces its origins to the East Pakistan Islami Chhatra Sangha, which has been the subject of controversy for its alleged involvement with the Pakistan Army during the Bangladesh Liberation War in 1971.
There are a few other aspects related to Bangladesh which are vital, he said. These include taking note of the fact that the Awami League is "not dead" but anti-Sheikh Hasina polity will sustain. This is also linked to pursuing anti-India politics in that country.
Moreover, he cautioned that a section of Bangladeshi people and political elements have tasted the 'power of mobocracy' and this aspect needs to be kept in mind when policymakers would sit to deliberate on matters concerning that country.
Importantly, Jamaat may play spoiler at times and it would have "disruptive power" too.
ends
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