Monday, August 22, 2022

Politics of Militancy and guns: Changing dynamics -- Nagaland

Military men and blogger: North East India 


Packages, training are incentives for surrender in Manipur

New Delhi 

In January this year, a senior military officer had said - "Since the time Niki Sumi and his group came onboard for peace talks, the Yung Aung faction of NSCN (also called NSCN-KYA) has been considerably weakened".

But by mid-August sleeves were pulled up once again and there are reports of 'revival' in some of the activities by the ultra group. More importantly from security point of view, the group has able to establish operational links with ULFA(I).


Therefore on the Independence Day, Aug 15, a joint group of NSCN-KYA and ULFA-I attacked an Assam Rifles camp in Nagaland's Mon district.


Earlier on August 9, the groups had carried out three separate attacks on Assam Rifles camps in Arunachal Pradesh and Nagaland.


"On being challenged by own troops, the UGs opened fire which was appropriately retaliated causing severe casualties to 

the UG group. Two Assam Rifles’ soldiers also sustained injuries; they have been evacuated to Jorhat Air Force Hospital for further treatment. They were evacuated with the help of local villagers," said a statement from security forces.


New Delhi is concerned about the incidents both at local level and also at a broad and regional level.


"With the killing of jawans and repeated attacks, it is easy to say that the insurgency issue in the northeast is 

far from over. Things are being examined closely as in December 2021, there were hue and cry and persistent

demand for withdrawal of the AFSPA," a source said.


In Nagaland, focus has been largely on peace talks, timing of a solution and ensuing assembly elections.


But in the remote areas and in jungles along Myanmar border in parts of Mon district, the 'militancy activities' are on rise.


Security analysts say things certainly need 'closer scrutiny' as the situation has deteriorated to a large extent from

what was the scene in May 2021. 


On May 16, 2021, there were reports that "common public" in Arunachal Pradesh’s Longding district thrashed four members of the NSCN (Khaplang-Yung Aung), forcing them to release a villager they had kidnapped from Maihwa village. Two of the NSCN (K-YA) gunmen were also handed over to the security forces.








The message was important, they say.


It was given out that the only Naga ultra faction which remained out of the 'peace process' with the centre 

was losing local 'support'. But the sheer change in dynamics is not a good sign.


They also do not rule out the possible angle that the 'delay' in settling the dispute between the Government of

India and the stakeholders among Naga groups -- NSCN-IM and NNPG -- could also have some relations with

what is happening onground.


A Union Home Ministry report threw focus on other northeastern states and claimed things were by and large

'peaceful' in Mizoram and Tripura. 


In fact, compared to 2019, it was revealed that the insurgency-related violence and killings declined in 2020 by 42 percent 

in Arunachal Pradesh, 45 percent in Nagaland, 12 percent in Assam and 23-24 percent in Manipur. 


In Nagaland, violent incidents actually came down to 23 in 2020 from 42 the previous year (2019).


Nearly 44 percent of insurgency related incidents in 2020 in Nagaland were attributed to NSCN-IM.


Officials did not take these figures lightly and a formal 'query' message was sent to Kohima as well.


The 2020 and 2019 data actually suggested that the NSCN-IM, which began talks formally in 1997, was still 

active on ground with boots and bullets. Notably, time and again the militant group used to deny the government 

version that peace talks have formally ended on Oct 31, 2019.


But the NSCN(KYA) activities owe their origin to other factors.

"One reason is the military coup in Myanmar since 2021 and subsequent restrictions imposed on movement of armed groups

by the military junta. Moreover, K-YA bases are geographically away from population so they have 

increased their activities on the Indian side".


Sources said the NSCN-KYA group is now active in Noklak region not far from Myanmar and this does not augur well for 'peace loving people and forces in the region'.

Official sources, however, say things are under control and cool in Manipur where the 'surrender policy and packages' are helping those who come out shunning the path of violence and arson.


 ends


Manipur -- Success stories

# In January; a senior PLA commander Irom Ibotombi Meitei surrendered in presence of Chief Minister N. Biren Singh.


# In July, 2022, 12 militants of the Liberation Tigers of Tribals (LTT) surrendered and deposited one M-16 rifle, two AK-56 rifles, one double-barrel gun, one .22 rifle, two 9 mm pistols and also one Chinese hand grenade and a Kenwood radio set.

# Union Home Minister Amit Shah has assured that not a single bullet would be fired on militants who 
surrender and also that no FIR would be lodged against them unless they are involved in a heinous crime.

ends 

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