Wednesday, October 19, 2022

A true case of Harne-waley ko Baazigar kaheten haen !! Tharoor played smart....Kharge will be what Manmohan was !

A true case of Harne-waley ko Baazigar kaheten haen !! 






New Delhi 

As a former UN diplomat, Shashi Tharoor played a smart game. That's diplomatic billiards.

He hit one ball, but another ball could make it to the destination. 


He might have lost by a huge margin, but Congressmen and women got a message that he means business and despite being handicapped by dynastic shenanigans, he has made it to the top slot.

About 10-11 per cent vote share that Tharoor bagged shows at least 1000 Congressmen and women belong to the pro-change club --- a desperate lot to an extent who wants to fight the Dynasty.

He polled 1072 votes. 


In any other party, and any other day -- the election results could have been different ! It is understood, he bagged substantial votes from states such as Nagaland -- where the party ruled supreme for decades but is nowa marginalised force.

Importantly, the G-23 gang did not have enough will power and courage to back Tharoor -- that's also a political message. 


Let's list out Mallikarjun Kharge's challenges and also Congress's confused road map.


It may not win back Himachal Pradesh as it happened in Kerala. In Gujarat - arch rival Namo's home state - AAP is set to replace Congress. 

 

Kharge has a mega factional rivalry tussle in Rajasthan. And there is Bharat Jodo Yatra -- which is more popular in social media and among sycophant-journalists, websites and media, there is no clear road map how it will fight elections in Tripura, Nagaland and Meghalaya.


And 2024 is still far away.


Importantly, Nagaland Congress delegates were Christians -- all -- and the Sonia Gandhi factor did not come their way supposedly in making up the decision to back the stylish English speaking Tharoor.


Former Nagaland Chief Minister K L Chishi says - "I also commend Dr Shashi Tharoor  for being a worthy candidate to strengthen the inner party democracy of Indian National Congress". Words are well measured and very powerful.


Deve Gowda faced this 'survival' challenge once



For his part, Tharoor's Twitter missive was also politically significant. "It was a privilege to have received the support of over a thousand colleagues, and to carry the hopes and aspirations of so many well-wishers of Congress across India," the former Minister tweeted.  

There are more political signals.


Past stalwarts like Sharad Pawar had polled 882 votes and Rajesh Pilot only 354 in 1997 when Sitaram Kesri had won the presidency by polling 6224 votes.

Tharoor has received approval from more Congressmen and women than Maratha strongman and a 'permanent' PM-aspirant from the western state that also houses BCCI headquarters and country's industry and economic activities.


At the end of the day, it is no body's case to suggest that either Tharoor or Kharge can change the fate of Congress --- out of power in Delhi since 2014 and also has lost several key states.


Worse, it is a zero-MLA strong/weak party in West Bengal, Delhi and Nagaland. In Tripura also it could not open account in 2018 but in 2021 a BJP-defector Sudip Roy Barman won a by-election.
 
Observers readily say, Tharoor's contest was commendable as he was supposed to take on the elite and coterie sections of the old system.


The same old High Command culture and diktats of the virtuous crown prince ('I can do no wrong' theory) are out of touch with the masses.


The Congress does not have any social base today. Kharge's Dalit identity too may not leave any impressive impact.



And worse for thousands of Hindu voters -- the Congress is the new Muslim Leage and at best a pro-Christianoutfit which often gets excited by machinations and narratives of the urban naxals.


If Kharge is smart and if his high command allows him to be slightly independent; Tharoor should be included in the Congress Working Committee.

Tharoor could be given some 'organisational responsibilities' in a few southern states and in the north east.

Who knows, Tharoor will be able to make a difference in the states such as Kerala and the northern eastern states.


Between north east and Kerala, there are 45 seats and that includes Rahul Gandhi's parliamentary constituency Wayanad too.


In Assam, in 2019 the BJP could win 9 seats out of 14. Among other states, BJP won both seats in Arunachal Pradesh and Tripura. In 2024, it is likely to win both seats in Manipur - where the saffron party
returned to power earlier this year as a stronger outfit than it was in 2017.


In Sikkim, Nagaland and Mizoram regional partners have won the seat. In Meghalaya, Congress had won one and the Tura seat went to Agatha Sangma of NPP.


Importantly, in 2021, the BJP could retain the state government in Assam. The Congress disappointment did not end with electoral defeat wherein they had a fair chance of winning.


What is politically more significant is that the Congress is now a demoralised outfit in Assam - where it had a very strong base and several Congressmen and women have already jumped ship and embraced BJP's right-wing politics.


Who knows what more is stored in ? If Ghulam Nabi Azad can feel uncomfortable and quit Congress, anyone else can.


ends 







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