A Tsunami is caused by an earthquake beneath .... never caused by the wave itself ::::: "Zameen khisak raha hae (the ground is slipping away)"

"All the prophets of doom would be proved wrong," an insider said in confidence expressing satisfaction that the Naga peace parleys are on track.

Therefore, even as usual skepticism prevails; there is a school of thought which suggests both aides - that is the Government of India and also the Naga militants - the NSCN-IM - would have to work on ground on the 'modalities' for forward movement in talks. The delay has harmed the NSCN-IM as there is already a split and secondly; the new narrative 'Nagas of Nagaland' has come into play. 

The assertion that the "Southern Nagas" would have to "get out" if there is no transparency indicates 'Zameen khisak raha hae (the ground is being lost or slipping away)".  More than the NSCN-IM; the statement should alert Kohima and even Rangapahar to an extent.

The Spear Corps is full-time engaged with repeated clashes and related nuisance in Manipur since 2023 and there is no major improvement even as elections are round the corner.  

Khekiye Sema's "get out" rhetoric is equally backed by another former civil servant - an articulate Alemtenshi Jamir.  "The Naga political issue has become a Tamasha with 37 factions... Don't you feel sorry for yourself?"

In the entire show, the BJP and the RSS also getting a 'bad name'. The Hebron-Kohima Bhai Bhai actually entered 'zero tolerance' zone vis-a-vis Neta-Militants nexus. Mr Mohan Bhagwat could not be pleased to hear all that. 

Man is always at Sea? - That's power-politics  

Well, a Tsunami is never caused by the wave itself. It is caused by an earthquake beneath and most often far from where the devastation eventually occurs. 

 

Few questions may unnerve many quarters. 

The NSCN-IM (Hebron camp) was in problem. This ensuing meeting is a saving grace of them. Who was in hurry --- the Govt of India or the Hebron camp? 

Or was it the Kohima protagonists including the new 'businessman' in the business ?   

A more bitter question --  between Ajit Lal and Govind Mohan --- who would be Ram Madhav or Himanta ? 

Or a refere  will say --- "enough".  

For records, we all know Home Minister Amit Shah is a go getter. If he wants something; he may get it done. But many still wonder - is he any longer interested to clear the mess in Manipur and Nagaland.  

Chanakya : Knows the art and science 

Other related questions involved: Can Naga Solution really be worked out before dousing the fire in Manipur ?

What are the plans for Manipur ? 

What are the plans for Nagaland ?

The surrender of weapons and rehabilitation of the armed cadres. The development and economic packages are also being worked on.

There is a chance of a possible autonomous council in Arunachal Pradesh. But what about Manipur? If Meiteis and Nagas are brothers in arms and 'during upbringing' in Manipur -- what are certain communities in Nagaland ?

This brings us to the new narrative - 'the Nagas of Nagaland'. 

The NPF-BJP dispensation may be allergic to the phrase. 

The priority in Kohima is "ourselves or themselves" -- something S C Jamir flagged off with the "scratch the back" poetic words. 

The community leaders of various Naga tribal Hohos and influential bodies like Gaon Bura Federation (of village elders) will have to take a closer view of things.

The Prime Minister's Office in Delhi possibly is against 'any further' delay in Manipur. Elections ought to be held because no polls in Manipur would make international headlines. 

The Arunachal Pradesh and Manipur state governments are kept in the loop. Many say after the 2019 polls, the Prime Minister had given his nod to R N Ravi and almost a 'deadline' to sign the agreement with the Naga rebel groups by October 31, 2020. 

Big developments happened by Oct 2019. 

On the other hand, there is always an argument that if talks fail, one or two factions of Naga militants may revive insurgency with the help of their base in Myanmar and support from operatives in Bangladesh, China and Pakistan. The Eastern Flank has started the first part.

However, the argument -- "We can go back to jungles" in a broad sense is easier said than done. The resultant of such a situation would be disastrous.

The ball is again back in the court of Delhi. The first recommendation Ajit Lal can make is a minor surgery in Kohima to take the control of the nerve centre of all troubles.

“Should we continue to shed blood?,” -- is the unspoken message from the CNTC meet on Nov 11.

A saffron party chief minister at Kohima may be one way to take things forward. But the new man should understand politics and should not harbour an ambition of becoming 'Mukesh Ambani of north east'.  

The venue of the great signature show can be the poor man's resort. Money would still matter.

Nirmala Sitharaman will handle the bills. 

The Blossoming of 'Man for all seasons' 

ends