They use violence and coercion to exert dominance over territory and people.
More than 200 million people around 60 countries live in areas controlled and contested by armed non-state groups. Myanmar and parts of that country is one of such areas certainly. Indian security apparatus are taking things seriously ... 'more than ever before'. This is seen as a moment of global instability.
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| India's key neighbour - Myanmar - still at war |
These groups in countries such as Ecuador, Myanmar, Mexico and Yemen 'administer' cities and towns and extort businesses. They even no pretense of seeking memberships in UN or even try to topple 'existing' governments and the recognised political-governance system.
Reports say in Myanmar "hundreds of groups" are vying for power and they also have longstanding opposition to each other. "Somehow, some patterns reflect challenges in the north east of India," is a refrain so far.
One such group, the United Wa Army is in territory bordering China's Yunnan province. "We have taken note that the borderlands have become one of the top producers of opium".
If you cannot get a perfect cake; at least go for one that looks perfect. That's the fate of Naga talks today.
If you can make 'everyone feel safe and future happy', it may work. It's like seduction. If that's a Mantra; so be it.
The Govt of the day in negotiations with the ultras have to be twice as good as the militant organisation.
But all that still may not work for obvious historical and geo-political reasons.
The sacred machinery of checks and balances and accountability is now a fable, to speak the least. And for practical purpose; all that is vanished.
The theme of the value judgement is -- none wants Solution.
At least for next few years --- even the Govt of India.
Or does it want it ? Time to go for "energising" the Republic, Mr Prime Minister. There is also a saying often ignored in diplomatic and geo-strategic talks --- 'only an idiot can feel safe'. The question therefore is -- who wants to be that golden idiot.
A "few rounds of parleys' may take place.
The apprehension is they could be only "rituals and routine".
It's a challenging time. For all the players have to justify their existence. Let us take one-by-one !!
The Govt of India (New Delhi) needs to show they are a "serious peace maker". At the political level - they all seem to be busy with their 'more serious' priorities.
Mr Ajit Lal has to prove - he is a serious emissary or interlocutor even if the appointment came to him little late.
The civil servants have to prove - they ae more than "I am sorry".
Chief Minister Neiphiu Rio has to prove himself as the chief minister. -- The longest serving but who 'delivered the least'. FNTA is one thing - his stint has delivered nevertheless.
And to blame for that ... whether G K Pillai or A K Mishra will be blamed more remains to be seen.
The NNPGs have to prove - they are sincerely patient or 'patiently sincere'. The NSCN-IM Eastern Flank has their priorities on something else.
And the Hebron camp wants the big crown -- "only legitimate representative" of Nagas ... for Nagas and 'for frontiers beyond the state of Nagaland'.
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| Great Wall of China and Blogger : 2019 |
The new world disorder has "stymied" the global players. The word is quite meaningful -- it says -- ... to prevent somebody from doing something that they have planned or want to do.
Min Aung Hlaing, Myanmar's military ruler, is the man who led the 2021 coup against the elected government of Aung San Suu Kyi.
But he provoked a catastrophic civil war and has sincethen faced plenty of international censure, and is loathed by much of Myanmar's population.
ends
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