Attempts to resolve Indo-Pak
problems without criticism, risk and failure is like thinking about globalization
where people do not have both purchasing power and the shopping habits.
Contradictions in Heroism? |
Notwithstanding the fact that many in India will not
believe such arguments, Pakistanis presume both countries got drawn into 1965
conflict through a series of mistakes and miscalculations. Drawing parallelism
– in circa 2015-16 – many said both Nawaz Sharif and his Indian counterpart
Narendra Modi are politically powerful elements in their own rights. Despite
military elder brother syndrome in Islamabad, Sharif is perhaps easily given
out as one of the most powerful politicians since Muhammad Ali Jinnah. In India
too, Modi is considered really in control of things.
So the entire hype about their December 25, 2015
unscheduled meeting after Modi made a stopover at Lahore is perhaps justified.
But what about the criticism that Modi’s unorthodox stratagem is actually
attributed to adventurism and guided by an inconsistent methodology?
“History shows that not talking to Pakistan has
served no purpose,” wrote Amit Dasgupta and Krishnan Srinivasan in a joint
oped-piece for The Statesman. So Modi and Sharif are in right directions.
But how does one look at the large scale criticism
that PM Modi’s foreign policy towards Pakistan lacks coherence and consistency.
To examine this issue, one must start that while
Pakistan need not be a long-term or even short-term friend of India, there’s no
denying that it is a very important neighbour. Consistency is also an
alternative terminology for playing safe.
In this context, one can easily argue – no risk no
gain as change or exploring new methodologies have always paid in dividends in
foreign policy and international peace order globally. Thus it must be understood that perhaps for the
first time under Modi, India has embarked on a policy towards Pakistan – where
it is applying carrot and stick policy persistently. Carrot – being the forward
movements for parleys at various levels but with clear blessings from the Prime
Minister’s Office and the ‘stick’ being the pressure build up forcing Pakistan
to act on key issues.
The Ufa statement was thus a minor victory even as Modi
did not get his due.
Historically, Indian foreign policy has followed ‘four-fold methods’ – revolving around Sama, Dana, Bheda and Danda. But under Nehruvian influence and over enthusiasm to play to the western galleries – there have been dilutions in this and New Delhi’s foreign policy often remained predictable and rather ‘slavish’ following the good old path.
Historically, Indian foreign policy has followed
‘four-fold methods’ – revolving around Sama, Dana, Bheda and Danda. But under
Nehruvian influence and over enthusiasm to play to the western galleries – there
have been dilutions in this and New Delhi’s foreign policy often remained
predictable and rather ‘slavish’ following the good old path.
In the new ‘verb’ exhibited by Modi – often
following unprecedented roadmap – many see that an attempt has been made to
revive country’s traditional standpoint vis-à-vis foreign policy. While no
Indian king stepped out of India with any marital heroism to conquer others –
historically ‘no war’ would not be acceptable to the Indian civilization
either.
Therefore, mandarins in South Block would these days say – peace and
prosperity are preferred if accepted by the other side (in this case Pakistan),
but war and run – a reference to ‘Danda’ would be taken up if compelled.
Perhaps, Modi is
trying to talk to Pakistan from a position of strength and hence we had
headlines screaming about so called ‘detention’ of Jaise-e-Mohammad chief
Masood Azhar.
It is altogether a different matter that Pakistan’s
words need to be taken with a pinch of salt. And rightly, New Delhi has tried to
“reschedule” the Secretary level talks.
Is it not for the first time – Pakistan has been
made to act in the manner it has acted like “sealing” the offices of
Jaish-e-Mohammad – even if these are mere ‘cosmetic’?
Only unorthodox strategies in foreign policy in the
past showed some concrete results – like Nixon visiting China and Michael
Gorbachev abandoning Soviet satellite states!
It goes without
saying, Diplomacy is no longer in chains as globalised economy and new social
implications influence the game a lot. Dealing with Pakistan also needs a
statecraft and firmness to the level of arrogance as Modi seemed to champion
regardless of the growing criticism he
is subjected to. In the end everyone – especially the principal opposition
Congress party – has to realize in country’s interest that Diplomacy is
essentially a collective matter. More so in dealing with a complex subject like Indo-Pak.
No government can deliver in full if not there’s cooperation from stake holders like opposition parties. One only wish Nitish Kumar’s appreciation of Modi’s Lahore stop over is actually guided by geo-strategic considerations rather than a political ploy only to give some complexes to Lalu Prasad and his children.
ends
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