If 2014 belonged to Narendra Modi; the moot question is will 'super spy' Ajit Doval will emerge as the Man of the Year 2015?
One single big take away from the Mandate 2014 is at the end
of the day, it is not only the story of a winner taking it all; but what counts
most is the ‘mass appeal’ of a political stardom. That was Narendra Modi
enigma.
But that was past. Six months since government formation;
what is debated is who’s the ‘eyes and ears’ of supposed to be all powerful
Prime Minister, Modi.
If recent trends are any indication and if the grapevine in
the corridors of power is to be taken seriously, the National Security Advisor,
Ajit Doval seems to walk away with the cake.
It’s not all guess or faking out in the power lobbies. The
NSA Ajit Doval matters quite a lot in the ‘Modi Sarkar’.
“For Modi regime, the
northeast insurgency issues including the complex Naga or ULFA peace talks and
certain matters related to foreign policy framework have been passed onto the
bureaucratic horizon. The Prime Minister Modi’s National Security Advisor (NSA)
Ajit Doval is often calling the shots now,” says an insider.
In his wisdom, the Prime
Minister decided to give Doval, a former Intelligence Bureau man, upper hand in
foreign policy matters as also peace talks with insurgent groups in northeast
India because the bill (read Doval) suits Modi “politically”.
It is given to
understand that in the process Modi has kept both Rajnath Singh (Home Minister)
and Sushma Swaraj (External Affairs Minister) under check.
“That’s Modi’s style of
functioning wherein he uses experts and technocrats to cut the political rivals
into size. He did it in Gujarat and he is doing it now,” a BJP leader agrees
rather acidly.
Many in bureaucratic circle
are drawing parallelism between Doval and Atal Behari Vajpayee’s NSA, Brajesh
Mishra. Others, however, say the comparison is not just fair as Mishra was a
longtime friend of Vajpayee and was also Principal Secretary to the Prime
Minister. But in case of Doval, he just wears the ‘NSA’ hat and cannot be
called a friend of Modi.
Rumour: Has Doval overshadowed Sushma as Foreign Minister |
There are also murmuring in BJP that before 2009 general
elections, there used to be close hobnobbing between Doval and the L K Advani
camp.
But some BJP insiders say Doval has been advising Modi on a number
of issues since last one year, that is from the time campaign for Lok Sabha
elections started had picked up in 2013.
Doval-run Vivekananda International Foundation in Delhi
also provided with certain inputs to then Gujarat
chief minister when he spoke in various fora across the country.
It is also presumably believed that it was Doval first whom Modi
discussed about inviting Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif for the May 26 swearing in
gala in Delhi .
Doval reportedly had told the then PM-designate, “why only Pakistan sir,
why don’t you invite all SAARC nations”. Modi immediately latched on to the
idea and followed it up with shooting the invite missives across South Asia
even though the South Block mandarins in foreign ministry initially thought the
time was too short to ensure such a mammoth gathering and do the necessary
spade work.
May 27, 2014 |
Lately again the Prime
Minister sprang a surprise and has invited the US President Barack Obama for 26
January, 2015 Republic Day parade.
Here too, sources say, MEA
was hardly consulted and NSA’s opinion prevailed.
In last six months Prime
Minister’s three major overseas sojourns – to the United
States , Japan
and Australia-Myanmar and Fiji
were again largely seen as exclusive Narendra Modi show.
Even as Modi stole
headlines both home and abroad and dominated the TV time space with his unique
mannerism and ‘rock star’ speeches; in fact, more than once the External
Affairs Minister Sushma, onetime high-profile talented orator and PM-probable,
was reduced to just “receiving PM” on arrival at the Indira Gandhi
International Airport.
“We hardly know of instances
wherein Prime Minister has consulted his Minister (Sushma) not to talk about
the Ministry per se,” says a mandarin in the South Block.
In North Block, that is the
Home Ministry vis-à-vis northeast India too, the script is reportedly
almost the same. Once Modi realized that like him even Rajnath Singh did not
have much knowledge about the complexity of northeast insurgency, it was
natural to turn focus towards Doval, a former IB official, who also played a
role during the successful 1986 peace negotiations with late rebel leader
Laldenga in Mizoram.
Thus Doval was almost given
free hand to chalk out his northeast strategy. Doval appointed another retired
IPS official R N Ravi as the chief
interlocutor for Naga talks – now in negotiations since 1997.
In the
melee of these developments as we talk of PM’s reliability on Doval with BJP
and RSS offering very limited talent pool and expertise; another factor that
comes in between is that how Modi-Doval equation has gone down to the
Sanghparivar and especially its fountainhead, the much influential RSS.
By 2009 when BJP under the leadership of L K
Advani suffered a humiliating defeat, Doval took a major initiative to turn
then newly launched Vivekananda International Foundation as a key strategic
think-tank in Delhi .
The organization all throughout was known as a renowned anti-Manmohan Singh government lobby with strong ties to the RSS and also to the federal intelligence
agencies.
Now, a section of BJP leaders
claim there are reasons to believe that Doval’s influence
has increased manifold in last six months as he has been able to also play “a
proper coordinator” between the Prime Minister (if not the government itself)
and the RSS especially on foreign matters and South Asian paradigm.
The Sangh also seemed to have cultivated a ‘belated realization’
that northeast India and
eastern neighbours like Myanmar
should get their importance.
Ram Madhav, a RSS appointee to the BJP, two months
back demanded that Myanmar
should be made invitee member to the SAARC parivar. Many see that such belated
realization could be a game-changer in more ways than one. And Doval is
important in these facets.
Doval in India and Sartaj Aziz in Pakistan are enjoying the confidence of their PMs and both are basking in the incompetence of their bosses.
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