In one small but vital step; the BJP leadership and the Modi Govt have been able to corner its principal detractor the Congress party and also 'isolated' it from other strong proponents of anti-BJP politics.
The Number of Lok Sabha seats will increase from 2 to 3 in smaller states like Tripura, Meghalaya and Manipur.
The number of assembly seats will also increase.
The Govt strategies feel the new addition of constituencies may help Govt address the complex issues/concerns flagged off by communities such as Kukis in Manipur and also other tribal groups in the north east.
The Women’s Reservation Act 2023, which aims to provide 33 % quota for women in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies, is officially named 'Nari Shakti Vandan Adhiniyam'.
The quota for women will apply to SC and ST reserved seats as well.
The government is also walking cautiously and has not shared any written document with the parties.
It was introduced by Modi 2.0 regime as the 128th Constitutional Amendment Bill and passed as the 106th Constitutional Amendment Act.
Home Minister Amit Shah was directed by PM Narendra Modi to play the good old Chanakya and a crucial meeting was held with opposition parties such as the Samajwadi Party and DMK.
The Congress reportedly took a different line and demanded an all-party meeting on the Women’s Reservation Act.
If the new Law is enacted now calling for implementation of the same in 2029 general elections; sources said the number of seats in the Lok Sabha will jump from 543 to 816.
As of now the move is 273 of then will be reserved for women on "rotation".
Much to the chagrin of Congress, while it had stayed away from a meeting convened by Shah; reports say representatives from the Samajwadi Party (SP) and the M K Stalin-led DMK met with the Home Minister Amit Shah in presence of a few other key BJP leaders.
The government’s move also accelerates delimitation of Lok Sabha and Assembly seats, increasing the Lower House’ strength from 543 to 816.
The Centre has mooted fixing of constituencies based on 2011 Census to fast-track the implementation process which is seen as a mega game-changer in socio-political context in the country.
Union Law Minister Arjun Meghwal reportedly played a key role in reaching out to SP leader Ram Gopal Yadav to ensure that the UP-based party did not skip the invitation.
While Tamil Nadu is already in the poll season; UP goes to polls early next year. A DMK delegation led by K. Kanimozhi met the Home Minister on Friday (March 22), sources said.
It is also claimed by the ruling side that both these parties have responded "positively" to the government’s move.
In fact, Tamil Nadu CM and DMK president M K Stalin has already said that his party will “fully support this initiative of bringing women’s reservation with any preconditions".
Stalin's only issue was that the southern States which implemented Population Control measures sincerely unlike the cow-belt states should get "fair delimitation" -- that is appropriate and enhanced numbers of seats.
It is estimated that UP - which now has 80 Lok Sabha seats may get 120 MPs while Delhi may get 11.
Seats may increase in Bihar from 40 to 60, West Bengal from 42 to 63, Tamil Nadu from 39 to 59, and Maharashtra from 48 to 72.
Karnataka may go from 28 to 42 seats, Kerala from 20 to 30, Andhra Pradesh from 25 to 38, Gujarat from 26 to 39, and Rajasthan from 25 to 38.
Stalin, however, questioned the timing, calling it an attempt to “secure electoral gains” ahead of upcoming Assembly elections.
With the Model Code of Conduct in force, he said, “pushing such an important step is unprecedented,” urging the government to convene a special session in June after the polls to enact the constitutional amendment.
On March 15, Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge, responding to a written invitation from the government, after it spurned many oral invites, insisted on an all-party meeting where the “roadmap can be discussed with all opposition parties present.”
The Left parties, incidentally, were the only ones to follow the Congress’s lead.
But Amit Shah also met the NCP (SP), Shiv Sena (UBT), YSR Congress, and AIMIM.
The Trinamool Congress finds itself trapped as it is a sensitive issue and the priority is on two-phase elections in April.
Govt plans
-- Delimitation based on the 2011 Census.
-- Population alone will not be the determinant in deciding strength of a State’s representation in the Lok Sabha;
** Lok Sabha and Assembly seats will increase by 50% across the board
--- Each State’s percentage share of Lok Sabha seats will remain unchanged
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